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By Manolis Skoulikas
We are surprised to hear in the West, the Revolutionary Guards accusing their unyielding negotiators, Abbas Araqchi and Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf, of being “traitors”, with the latter being forced to resign by the Iranian deep state. Iran’s uncompromising policy, combined with its erratic maximalist negotiating positions, undermines any notion of Western negotiating logic and pushes Trump to extreme measures that would result in the mass destruction of Iran’s infrastructure, with horrific consequences for its population.
How can we explain this incomprehensibly extreme stance that leads to the self-sacrifice of an entire people? To answer this complex question, we must examine a series of parameters that define the modern Iranian way of thinking:
At this moment, the most expensive answer on the planet corresponds to the question: “What is the breaking point of the mullah regime?” However, as Stalin demonstrated in 1941, established totalitarian regimes do not hesitate to sacrifice their people en masse, even amid crushing military defeat, to avoid their fall.
From this deadlock, it seems that only China has the capability to extricate Trump from Iran without keeping the Strait of Hormuz closed. However, this agreement must also include free passage through the global straits. Free navigation and open sea trade routes mean uninterrupted access for China to 60% of global markets and its economic supremacy over the US by 2050. Is Trump willing to relinquish American omnipotence and be remembered as the president who lost to China?